Pennsylvania Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Josh ShapiroD leads at 98% across 4 venues: Kalshi 98%, Polymarket US 98%, PredictIt 98%, Polymarket 98%. Stacy GarrityR is at 2%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Josh Shapiro 98%
- Polymarket US Josh Shapiro 98%
- PredictIt Josh Shapiro 98%
- Polymarket Josh Shapiro 98%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh ShapiroD incumbent Governor since 2023; running mate Austin Davis | 98% bid 98¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $533k | 98% ask 99¢ | 98% buy 99¢ | 98% vol $61k | 98% |
| Stacy GarrityR State treasurer; running mate Jason Richey | 2% bid 2¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $1.3M | 1% ask 2¢ | 2% buy 4¢ | 2% vol $112k | 2% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Josh Shapiro. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Josh ShapiroD at 98%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Pennsylvania pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%