State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

Pennsylvania Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.

Kalshi has Josh Shapiro at 97%; Polymarket has Josh Shapiro (D) at 97%.

Candidate / partyKalshiPolymarketGap
Josh Shapiro D97%
bid 97¢ · ask 97¢ · OI $94k
97%
vol $8k
+0 pts
Stacy Garrity R3%
bid 3¢ · ask 3¢ · OI $368k
3%
vol $42k
+1 pts
Pennsylvania Governor 2026 — Kalshi · Josh Shapiro · Polymarket · Josh Shapiro (D) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepKalshi · Josh Shapiro 98%Polymarket · Josh Shapiro (D) 97%

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Pennsylvania pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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