New York Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Kathy HochulD leads at 97% across 4 venues: Kalshi 97%, Polymarket US 97%, PredictIt 97%, Polymarket 97%. Bruce BlakemanR is at 2%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Kathy Hochul 97%
- Polymarket US Kathy Hochul 97%
- PredictIt Kathy Hochul 97%
- Polymarket Kathy Hochul 97%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy HochulD incumbent Governor since August 2021; also on Working Families line; running mate Adrienne Adams | 97% bid 97¢ · ask 97¢ · OI $1.4M | 97% ask 98¢ | 97% buy 99¢ | 97% vol $327k | 97% |
| Bruce BlakemanR Nassau County Executive; also on Conservative line; running mate Todd Hood | 4% bid 3¢ · ask 4¢ · OI $6.4M | 2% ask 3¢ | 2% buy 3¢ | 3% vol $427k | 2% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Kathy Hochul. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Kathy HochulD at 97%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of New York pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%