State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

New York Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Kathy HochulD leads at 97% across 4 venues: Kalshi 97%, Polymarket US 97%, PredictIt 97%, Polymarket 97%. Bruce BlakemanR is at 2%.

Market consensus
97%
Kathy Hochul to win, median of 4 venues
Forecasters
Solid D
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
HochulD
incumbent running
2024 presidential
D +12.6
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Kathy HochulD incumbent
Governor since August 2021; also on Working Families line; running mate Adrienne Adams
97%
bid 97¢ · ask 97¢ · OI $1.4M
97%
ask 98¢
97%
buy 99¢
97%
vol $327k
97%
Bruce BlakemanR
Nassau County Executive; also on Conservative line; running mate Todd Hood
4%
bid 3¢ · ask 4¢ · OI $6.4M
2%
ask 3¢
2%
buy 3¢
3%
vol $427k
2%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Kathy Hochul. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

New York Governor 2026 · Kalshi · Kathy Hochul · Polymarket · Kathy Hochul (D) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovPolymarket · Kathy Hochul (D) 97%Kalshi · Kathy Hochul 96%

The race

Seat
Kathy HochulD
running for re-election · in office since 2021
Ratings
Solid D Cook · Likely D Inside · Solid D Sabato
consensus Solid D, as of October 29, 2026
Last election (2022)
Kathy HochulD D +6.4
53.12% to Lee Zeldin 46.73%
2024 presidential
D +12.6
Primary
June 23, 2026
Filing deadline
—
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Kathy HochulD at 97%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of New York pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related races

← All governor races · Midterms overview