State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

Nevada Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.

Kalshi has Joe Lombardo at 56%.

Candidate / partyKalshiPolymarketGap
Aaron Ford D45%
bid 44¢ · ask 46¢ · OI $117k
Joe Lombardo R56%
bid 55¢ · ask 56¢ · OI $158k
Nevada Governor 2026 — Kalshi · Joe Lombardo · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepKalshi · Joe Lombardo 56%

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Nevada pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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