Maryland Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Wes MooreD leads at 99% across 4 venues: Kalshi 99%, Polymarket US 98%, PredictIt 99%, Polymarket 99%. Dan CoxR is at 1%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Wes Moore 99%
- Polymarket US Wes Moore 98%
- PredictIt Wes Moore 99%
- Polymarket Wes Moore 99%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes MooreD incumbent Governor since 2023; running mate Aruna Miller | 99% bid 98¢ · ask 99¢ · OI $116k | 98% ask 99¢ | 99% | 99% vol $20k | 99% |
| Dan CoxR 2022 nominee; running mate Robert Krop | 2% bid 1¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $332k | 1% ask 2¢ | 1% buy 1¢ | <1% vol $15k | 1% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Wes Moore. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Wes MooreD at 99%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Maryland pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%