State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

Maryland Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.

Kalshi has Wes Moore at 95%.

Candidate / partyKalshiPolymarketGap
Wes Moore D95%
bid 95¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $4k
Dan Cox R5%
bid 2¢ · ask 5¢ · OI $20k
Maryland Governor 2026 — Kalshi · Wes Moore · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepKalshi · Wes Moore 97%

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Maryland pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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