State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Maine Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Hannah PingreeD leads at 97% across 3 venues: Kalshi 97%, Polymarket US 96%, Polymarket 97%. Bobby CharlesR is at 3%.

Market consensus
97%
Hannah Pingree to win, median of 3 venues
Forecasters
Solid D
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
MillsD
open seat
2024 presidential
D +6.9
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Hannah PingreeD97%
bid 97¢ · ask 97¢ · OI $78k
96%
ask 97¢
—97%
vol $41k
97%
Bobby CharlesR
Listed as Robert B. Charles / Robert Charles in primary results
3%
bid 3¢ · ask 3¢ · OI $144k
3%
ask 4¢
—3%
vol $24k
3%
Rick BennettI
Independent; 8% in NYT/Siena Oct 27-Nov 1
1%
bid 0¢ · ask 1¢ · OI $7k
———1%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Hannah Pingree. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Maine Governor 2026 · Kalshi · Hannah Pingree · Polymarket · Hannah Pingree (D) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovPolymarket · Hannah Pingree (D) 97%Kalshi · Hannah Pingree 97%

The race

Seat
Janet MillsD
term-limited · open seat · in office since 2019
Ratings
Solid D Cook · Solid D Inside · Likely D Sabato
consensus Solid D, as of October 29, 2026
Last election (2022)
Janet MillsD D +13.2
55.69% to Paul LePage 42.45%
2024 presidential
D +6.9
Primary
June 9, 2026
Filing deadline
—
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Hannah PingreeD at 97%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Maine pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related races

← All governor races · Midterms overview