State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

Hawaii Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.

Kalshi has Josh Green at 97%; Polymarket has Josh Green (D) at 97%.

Candidate / partyKalshiPolymarketGap
Josh Green D97%
bid 97¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $3k
97%
vol $7k
+0 pts
Gary Cordery R2%
bid 2¢ · ask 3¢ · OI $2k
2%
vol $9k
-0 pts
Hawaii Governor 2026 — Kalshi · Josh Green · Polymarket · Josh Green (D) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepKalshi · Josh Green 97%Polymarket · Josh Green (D) 97%

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Hawaii pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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