Hawaii Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Josh GreenD leads at 98% across 3 venues: Kalshi 99%, Polymarket US 98%, Polymarket 98%. Gary CorderyR is at 2%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Josh Green 99%
- Polymarket US Josh Green 98%
- Polymarket Josh Green 98%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh GreenD incumbent Governor since 2022; running mate Derek Kawakami | 99% bid 98¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $11k | 98% ask 99¢ | — | 98% vol $10k | 98% |
| Gary CorderyR Running mate Daniel Anthony | 2% bid 2¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $28k | 1% ask 2¢ | — | 2% vol $21k | 2% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Josh Green. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Josh GreenD at 98%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Hawaii pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%