California Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Xavier BecerraD leads at 97% across 4 venues: Kalshi 98%, Polymarket US 97%, PredictIt 97%, Polymarket 98%. Steve HiltonR is at 2%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Xavier Becerra 98%
- Polymarket US Xavier Becerra 97%
- PredictIt Xavier Becerra 97%
- Polymarket Xavier Becerra 98%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier BecerraD Former HHS secretary and state attorney general | 98% bid 97¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $706k | 97% ask 98¢ | 97% buy 97¢ | 98% vol $3.3M | 97% |
| Steve HiltonR Former Fox News host | 3% bid 2¢ · ask 3¢ · OI $4.6M | 2% ask 3¢ | 3% buy 4¢ | 2% vol $4.8M | 2% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Xavier Becerra. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Xavier BecerraD at 97%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%