California Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.
Kalshi has Xavier Becerra at 96%; Polymarket has Xavier Becerra at 95%.
| Candidate / party | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra D | 96% bid 96¢ · ask 97¢ · OI $217k | — | — |
| Steve Hilton R | 4% bid 3¢ · ask 4¢ · OI $575k | — | — |
| Xavier Becerra | — | 95% vol $2.0M | — |
| Steve Hilton | — | 4% vol $2.8M | — |
California Governor 2026 — Kalshi · Xavier Becerra · Polymarket · Xavier Becerra · last 90 days
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.