State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

Arizona Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.

Kalshi has Katie Hobbs at 88%.

Candidate / partyKalshiPolymarketGap
Katie Hobbs D88%
bid 87¢ · ask 88¢ · OI $164k
Andy Biggs R14%
bid 12¢ · ask 14¢ · OI $189k
Arizona Governor 2026 — Kalshi · Katie Hobbs · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepKalshi · Katie Hobbs 88%

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Arizona pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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