Arizona Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Katie HobbsD leads at 93% across 4 venues: Kalshi 92%, Polymarket US 93%, PredictIt 91%, Polymarket 94%. Andy BiggsR is at 8%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Katie Hobbs 92%
- Polymarket US Katie Hobbs 93%
- PredictIt Katie Hobbs 91%
- Polymarket Katie Hobbs 94%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie HobbsD incumbent Governor since 2023; running mate John Giles | 92% bid 92¢ · ask 92¢ · OI $606k | 93% ask 94¢ | 91% buy 91¢ | 94% vol $446k | 93% |
| Andy BiggsR U.S. representative; running mate Sine Kerr | 8% bid 8¢ · ask 8¢ · OI $1.2M | 7% ask 8¢ | 12% buy 12¢ | 6% vol $417k | 8% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Katie Hobbs. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Likely D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Katie HobbsD at 93%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Arizona pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%