Oscars 2027 Odds 16 categories with a live market, both exchanges.
Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC. Nominations are announced in January 2027; the ceremony follows in March.
Best Actor · Best Actress · Best Animated Feature Film · Best Adapted Screenplay · Best Cinematography · Best Director · Best Documentary Feature Film · Best Makeup and Hairstyling · Achievement in Casting · Best International Feature Film · Best Picture · Best Music (Original Score) · Best Original Screenplay · Best Supporting Actor · Best Supporting Actress · Best Visual Effects
Best Picture Nominee Gap The Odyssey 49%
100%
-51 pts Wild Horse Nine 5%
88%
-84 pts The Debut 5%
86%
-80 pts La Bola Negra —
85%
— Dune: Part Three 13%
80%
-66 pts Project Hail Mary 2%
78%
-76 pts The Invite 1%
60%
-60 pts Digger 3%
54%
-50 pts
Best Picture (Kalshi) — The Odyssey · Wild Horse Nine · The Debut · last 120 days
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Jun Jul Aug Sep The Odyssey 50% Wild Horse Nine 5% The Debut 4%
Best Actor Nominee Gap Matt Damon 31%
91%
-60 pts Andrew Scott 15%
88%
-74 pts John Malkovich 39%
87%
-48 pts Tom Cruise 18%
63%
-45 pts Robert Pattinson —
57%
— Ryan Gosling 2%
34%
-32 pts Timothée Chalamet 3%
26%
-24 pts Sebastian Stan 1%
26%
-26 pts
Best Actor (Kalshi) — Matt Damon · Andrew Scott · John Malkovich · Tom Cruise · last 120 days
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Jun Jul Aug Sep John Malkovich 26% Tom Cruise 26% Matt Damon 22% Andrew Scott 15%
Best Actress Nominee Gap Julianne Moore 68%
69%
-1 pts Other —
50%
— Inde Navarrette 17%
13%
+4 pts Renate Reinsve 4%
8%
-5 pts Sandra Hüller 5%
7%
-2 pts Anne hathaway 5%
—
— Cynthia Erivo 2%
—
— Joan Collins 2%
—
—
Best Actress (Kalshi) — Julianne Moore · Inde Navarrette · Renate Reinsve · last 120 days
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Jun Jul Aug Sep Julianne Moore 67% Inde Navarrette 20% Renate Reinsve 5%
Best Director Nominee Gap Christopher Nolan 67%
64%
+3 pts Director A —
50%
— Other —
50%
— Denis Villeneuve 18%
20%
-2 pts Alejandro G. Iñárritu 12%
7%
+5 pts Martin McDonagh 5%
6%
-1 pts Phil Lord or Christopher Miller —
5%
— Jesse Eisenberg 1%
5%
-4 pts
Best Director (Kalshi) — Christopher Nolan · Denis Villeneuve · last 120 days
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Jun Jul Aug Sep Christopher Nolan 66% Denis Villeneuve 18%
Best Supporting Actor Nominee Gap Paul Giamatti 53%
52%
+1 pts Actor AA —
50%
— Actor AB —
50%
— Actor AC —
50%
— Actor AD —
50%
— Actor AE —
50%
— Actor AF —
50%
— Actor AG —
50%
—
Best Supporting Actress Nominee Gap Actress AA —
50%
— Actress AB —
50%
— Actress AC —
50%
— Actress AD —
50%
— Actress AE —
50%
— Actress AF —
50%
— Actress AG —
50%
— Actress AH —
50%
—
Best Original Screenplay Best Adapted Screenplay Nominee Gap Movie A —
50%
— Other —
50%
— The Invite 35%
23%
+12 pts The Odyssey 28%
26%
+2 pts The Social Reckoning 27%
5%
+22 pts The Black Ball 21%
26%
-6 pts Dune: Part Three 7%
5%
+2 pts All of a Sudden 5%
7%
-2 pts
Best Animated Feature Film Best Music (Original Score) Nominee Gap The Odyssey 53%
46%
+8 pts Movie A —
50%
— Other —
50%
— Dune: Part Three 20%
16%
+5 pts Disclosure Day 10%
7%
+3 pts Project Hail Mary 10%
7%
+3 pts The Black Ball 4%
6%
-2 pts The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth 5%
2%
+2 pts
Best International Feature Film nominations Nominee Gap The Black Ball 92%
73%
+19 pts All of a Sudden 91%
6%
+85 pts Fjord 73%
5%
+68 pts Possible Love 64%
9%
+55 pts 1949 / Fatherland 54%
9%
+45 pts Minotaur 54%
2%
+52 pts Movie A —
50%
— Other —
50%
—
Best Makeup and Hairstyling Best Documentary Feature Film Nominee Gap Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party 51%
4%
+47 pts Movie A —
50%
— Other —
50%
— You Can See Everything 41%
—
— NAZA 29%
—
— Once Upon a Time in Harlem 10%
20%
-10 pts American Doctor 8%
16%
-8 pts Musk 11%
4%
+7 pts
Best Cinematography Nominee Gap The Odyssey 59%
56%
+3 pts Movie A —
50%
— Other —
50%
— Dune: Part Three 30%
24%
+5 pts Project Hail Mary 5%
8%
-3 pts Digger 0%
8%
-8 pts Obsession 5%
<1%
+5 pts Werwulf 0%
4%
-4 pts
Best Visual Effects nominations Nominee Gap Dune: Part Three 93%
55%
+38 pts Project Hail Mary 91%
26%
+66 pts The Odyssey 82%
10%
+72 pts Godzilla Minus Zero 69%
10%
+59 pts Movie A —
50%
— Other —
50%
— Spider-Man: Brand New Day 47%
4%
+43 pts Avengers: Doomsday 46%
3%
+43 pts
Achievement in Casting nominations Where a nominee has a price on one exchange only, the other has not listed them. Gaps of more than a few points between exchanges are where the two crowds disagree.