State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

Grammys 2027 Odds

5 categories with a live market, both exchanges.

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC. Nominations are announced in November 2026.

Album of the Year · Best Rap Album · Best New Artist · Record of the Year · Song of the Year

Album of the Year nominations

NomineeKalshiPolymarketGap
The Romantic92%
3%
+89 pts
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love88%
36%
+52 pts
The Art of Loving86%
12%
+74 pts
The Life of a Showgirl77%
3%
+74 pts
Lux74%
26%
+48 pts
The Great Divide59%
<1%
+58 pts
Dandelion59%
4%
+55 pts
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally55%
<1%
+55 pts

Best New Artist nominations

NomineeKalshiPolymarketGap
Slayyyter99%
<1%
+98 pts
Ella Langley95%
64%
+30 pts
SIENNA SPIRO87%
25%
+62 pts
Geese77%
<1%
+76 pts
Dominic Fike66%
Placeholder a
50%
Other
50%
Bella Kay38%
4%
+34 pts

Song of the Year nominations

NomineeKalshiPolymarketGap
Choosin' Texas95%
10%
+85 pts
Man I Need86%
13%
+73 pts
I Just Might77%
9%
+68 pts
drop dead75%
2%
+73 pts
the cure74%
16%
+58 pts
I Knew It, I Knew You60%
hate that i made you love me57%
4%
+53 pts
WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!54%
26%
+29 pts

Record of the Year nominations

NomineeKalshiPolymarketGap
I Just Might84%
4%
+80 pts
Choosin' Texas83%
24%
+58 pts
Man I Need82%
38%
+44 pts
The Fate of Ophelia81%
6%
+76 pts
WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!71%
8%
+63 pts
Placeholder a - TBD Artist
50%
Placeholder b - TBD Artist
50%
Placeholder c - TBD Artist
50%

Best Rap Album nominations

NomineeKalshiPolymarketGap
The Fall-Off82%
42%
+39 pts
Don't Be Dumb66%
22%
+45 pts
Placeholder a - TBD Artist
50%
Placeholder b - TBD Artist
50%
Placeholder c - TBD Artist
50%
Placeholder d - TBD Artist
50%
Placeholder e - TBD Artist
50%
Placeholder f - TBD Artist
50%
Where a nominee has a price on one exchange only, the other has not listed them. Gaps of more than a few points between exchanges are where the two crowds disagree.